Machine Learning Models in Type 2 Diabetes Risk Prediction: Results from a Cross-sectional Retrospective Study in Chinese Adults Summary Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has become a prevalent health problem in China, especially in urban areas. Early prevention strategies are needed to reduce the associated mortality and morbidity. We applied the combination of rules and different machine learning techniques to assess the risk of development of T2DM in an urban Chinese adult population. A retrospective analysis was performed on 8000 people with non-diabetes and 3845 people with T2DM in Nanjing. Multilayer Perceptron (MLP), AdaBoost (AD), Trees Random Forest (TRF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Gradient Tree Boosting (GTB) machine learning techniques with 10 cross validation methods were used with the proposed model for the prediction of the risk of development of T2DM. The performance of these models was evaluated with accuracy, precision, sensitivity, specificity, and area under receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC). After comparison, the prediction accuracy of the different five machine models was 0.87, 0.86, 0.86, 0.86 and 0.86 respectively. The combination model using the same voting weight of each component was built on T2DM, which was performed better than individual models. The findings indicate that, combining machine learning models could provide an accurate assessment model for T2DM risk prediction.

Association between TSH Level and Pregnancy Outcomes in Euthyroid Women Undergoing IVF/ICSI: A Retrospective Study and Meta-analysis Summary The aim of this study was to determine the association between thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) level and pregnancy outcomes in euthyroid women undergoing in vitro fertilization (IVF)/intra-cytoplasmic sperm injection (ICSI). A total of 1185 women were enrolled in the retrospective study, and 12 studies with a total of 6624 women were included in the meta-analysis (including the data of the present retrospective study). Participants in the retrospective study were divided into two groups in terms of their serum TSH levels: TSH ≤2.5 mIU/L group (n=830) and TSH >2.5 mIU/L group (n=355). They were monitored for the status of clinical pregnancy or miscarriage. In the TSH ≤2.5 mIU/L group, 441 (53.1%) women achieved clinical pregnancy, while 48 (5.8%) had early pregnancy loss and 12 (1.4%) had ectopic pregnancy. In the TSH >2.5 mIU/L group, 175 (49.3%) women achieved clinical pregnancy, while 21 (5.9%) had early pregnancy loss and 3 (0.8%) had ectopic pregnancy. No significant differences were observed between the two groups in pregnancy outcomes (P=0.126, P=0.512, P=0.297). The meta-analysis also revealed no significant difference in the clinical pregnancy rate and the miscarriage rate between women with serum TSH ≤2.5 mIU/L and those with serum TSH >2.5 mIU/L. In conclusion, high TSH levels (TSH level >2.5 mIU/L) did not affect clinical pregnancy rate or increase miscarriage rate in euthyroid women undergoing IVF/ICSI.

Diagnostic and Prognostic Value of Plasma Factor V Activity and Parameters in Thrombin Generation for Disseminated Intravascular Coagulation in Patients with Hematological Malignancies Summary In this study, we used plasma factor V activity and parameters of the thrombin generation test to discuss their diagnostic and prognostic value for disseminated intravascular coagulation (DIC) in patients with hematological malignancies. A total of 164 patients who were diagnosed with hematological malignancies in the Department of Hematology, Union Hospital, between Apr. 2014 and Dec. 2014 were enrolled in this study. There were 131 patients in the study group and 33 patients in the control group in terms of the laboratory results for DIC. The patients in the study group were divided into a DIC subgroup (n=59) and a non-DIC subgroup (n=72) based on the International Society of Thrombosis and Hemostasis (ISTH) Integral System, and they were divided into four subgroups [score ≤3 (n=35), score=4 (n=37), score=5 (n=47), and score ≥6 (n=12)] according to ISTH scores. Using 28-day mortality as the endpoint, the patients in the study group were divided into a survival subgroup (n=111) and a non-survival subgroup (n=20). The results showed that the plasma factor V activity was significantly weaker, and lag time and time to peak were significantly shorter in the study group than in the control group (P<0.01). The factor V activity, peak and endogenous thrombin potential (ETP) were significantly decreased in the DIC subgroup as compared with those in the non-DIC subgroup (P<0.01). Among factor V activity, lag time, peak, ETP, and ttPeak, only the factor V activity was significantly decreased in the non-survival subgroup compared with the survival subgroup (P<0.01). With the increase in ISTH score, the ETP and peak decreased gradually. The binary logistic regression analysis revealed that PLT, D-dimer, factor V activity and ETP had linear relationship with DIC diagnosed by ISTH Integral System. Using DIC diagnosed by ISTH Integral System as the endpoint, the area under curve (AUC) of factor V activity was found to be similar to that of blood platelet count (PLT) and prothrombin time (PT). In conclusion, factor V activity, ETP and peak had diagnostic value for DIC in patients with hematological malignancies, and only factor V activity had limited prognostic value.

Relationship between Atrial Tissue Remodeling and ECG Features in Atrial Fibrillation Summary The difference in the atrial organizational structure between patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and those with sinus rhythm was investigated. In order to analyze the rationality in explaining the electrocardiogram (ECG) characteristics of AF with statistics data or tissue remodeling model, and the logical relationship between the hypothesis of pulmonary veins (PV) muscle sleeves and that of multi wavelets in mechanism of AF, we examined the expression of collagen volume fraction of type I (CVF-I) with picrosirius red staining, connexin 40 (Cx40) by immunohistochemistry, and intercalated disc (ID) using transmission electron microscope in atrial tissue. The results showed that there was significant difference in the expression of CVF-I (t=3.827, P<0.01), Cx40 (t=4.21, P<0.01), and groups of the ID that keeping the electrical transmission and atrial electrical coupling synchronization (t=15.116, P<0.001), but no significant difference was found in total IDs (t=0.611, P=0.543) between patients with AF and those with sinus rhythm. The quantitative differences in the tissue remodeling could not explain the ECG characteristics of AF. The number of normal IDs and abnormal distribution are the structural basis to trigger and maintain atrial electrical remodeling, and induce and maintain AF. Such histological reconstruction supports the hypothesis of multi wavelets and can also explain ECG features.

Clinical Application of Bioprosthesis in China: Current Status and Future Summary China is one of the countries which have a high incidence of heart valvular disease, but the use of biological valve is limited in China before because the majority of patients are young patients suffering from rheumatic heart disease. The biological valve has a good application prospect in China. On the one hand, the new generation of biological valves have been significantly improved in the aspects of anti-calcification treatment, anti-metabolism, material quality control, valve frame mechanics design, and leaflet sewing technology, and the application effect is improved; on the other hand, surgeons should adapt to the new concept changes, and correctly understand and rationally apply biological valves, master valve repair, atrial fibrillation ablation and other techniques, combined with interventional, minimally invasive techniques, etc., according to the specific conditions of the disease and choose the surgery type to ensure the patients’ long-term life quality.

Mapping Changes of Whole Brain Blood Flow in Rats with Myocardial Ischemia/Reperfusion Injury Assessed by Positron Emission Tomography Summary 18F-labeled fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (18F-FDG PET) is the most sensitive tool for studying brain metabolism in vivo. We investigated the image patterns of 18F-FDG PET during reperfusion injury and correlated changes of whole brain blood flow utilizing a rat myocardial ischemia/reperfusion injury (MIRI) model. The results assessed by echocardiography indicated resultant cardiac dysfunction after ischemia-reperfusion in the rat heart. It was found that the average standardized uptake value (SUVaverage) of the whole brain was significantly decreased in model rats, and the glucose uptake of different brain regions including accumbens core/shell (Acb), left caudate putamen (LCPu), hippocampus (HIP), left hypothalamus (LHYP), olfactory (OLF), superior colliculus (SC), right midbrain (RMID), ventral tegmental area (VTA), inferior colliculus (IC) and left thalamus whole (LTHA) was significantly decreased in MIRI rats whereas no significant difference was found in the SUVaverage of amygdala (AMY), right CPu, RHYP, right HYP, left MID, right THA, pons and medulla oblongata (MO). These 18F-FDG PET data provide a reliable identification method for brain metabolic changes in rats with MIRI.

Relationship between Occurrence and Progression of Lung Cancer and Nocturnal Intermittent Hypoxia, Apnea and Daytime Sleepiness Summary The possible relationship between lung cancer and nocturnal intermittent hypoxia, apnea and daytime sleepiness, especially the possible relationship between the occurrence and progression of lung cancer and obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS) was explored. Forty-five cases of primary lung cancer suitable for surgical resection at the Third Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University between January 2017 and December 2017 were recruited (lung cancer group), and there were 45 patients in the control group who had no significant differences in age, sex and other general data from lung cancer group. The analyzed covariates included general situation, snore score, the Epworth Sleeping Scale (ESS), Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index (PSQI), apnea and hypopneas index (AHI), oxygen desaturation index 4 (ODI4), lowest arterial oxygen saturation [LSpO2 (%)], oxygen below 90% of the time [T90% (min)], the percentage of the total recorded time spend below 90% oxygen saturation (TS90%), to explore the possible relationship between lung cancer and above indicators. The participants were followed up for one year. The results showed that: (1) There was significant difference in body mass index (BMI), ESS, AHI, T90% (min), TS90%, ODI4, snore score and LSpO2 (%) between lung cancer group and control group (P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in age, gender, PSQI score, incidence of concurrent hypertension, diabetes and coronary heart disease (CHD), and smoking history between the two groups (P>0.05); (2) Patients in the lung cancer group were divided into OSAS subgroup and non-OSAS subgroup according to the international standard for the diagnosis of OSAS. There was significant difference in BMI, age, staging, incidence of concurrent hypertension and concurrent CHD, snore score, ESS score, T90% (min), TS90%, ODI4 and LSpO2 (%) between OSAS subgroup and non-OSAS subgroup (P<0.05). There was no statistically significant difference in gender, PSQI score, incidence of concurrent diabetes, smoking history and lung cancer type between the two groups (P>0.05); (3) AHI was strongly negatively correlated with the LSpO2 (%) and positively with ESS, staging, snoring score, T90% (min), TS90%, ODI4 and BMI (P<0.05); (4) There were 3 deaths, 5 cases of recurrence, and 4 cases of metastasis in OSAS subgroup; and there was 1 death, 4 cases of recurrence and 2 cases of metastasis in non-OSAS subgroup during the follow-up period of one year, respectively. There was no significant difference in mortality, recurrence rate and metastasis rate between the two subgroups, and the total rate of deterioration in OSAS subgroup was significantly increased compared to the non-OSAS subgroup (P<0.05). It was concluded that the patients with lung cancer are prone to nocturnal hypoxemia, apnea, snoring and daytime sleepiness compared to control group. The incidence of OSAS in patients with lung cancer was higher, and the difference in the hypoxemia-related indicators was statistically significant. The mortality, recurrence rate, and metastasis rate increases in lung cancer patients with OSAS during the one-year follow-up period, suggesting that OSAS may be a contributing factor to the occurrence and progression of lung cancer.

Prevalence and Risk Factors of Stress Urinary Incontinence Among Perimenopausal Women and Its Influence on Daily Life in Women with Sexual Desire Problem Summary The prevalence of, and related factors to, stress urinary incontinence (SUI) among perimenopausal Chinese women and its impact on daily life among those women with sexual desire problem in Hubei province were investigated. In this study, 1519 perimenopausal women aged 40 to 65 years were selected from three urban communities in the Wuhan area, and two impoverished, mountainous communities in Hubei province, and followed from April to October 2014. Detailed information about demographic characteristics, menstruation, pregnancy, sexual life and chronic diseases was collected. A cross-sectional survey was carried out following information collection by Chi-square test and multiple logistic regression analysis. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that the potential factors associated with developing SUI were old age (OR=3.4, 95% CI: 1.92–6.04), vaginal delivery (OR=0.623, 95% CI: 0.45–0.87), low income (OR=0.063, 95% CI: 0.40–0.92), atrophic vaginitis (OR=1.4, 95% CI: 1.03–1.80), pelvic organ prolapse (OR=2.81, 95% CI: 1.36–5.80), chronic pelvic pain (OR=2.17, 95% CI: 1.90–4.03), constipation (OR=1.44, 95% CI: 1.07–1.93) and incontinence of feces (OR=3.32, 95% CI: 2.03–5.43). Moreover, the ratio of SUI (33.2%) was higher than the ratio of urgency urinary incontinence (24.1%) or the ratio of mixed urinary incontinence (17.4%), and SUI had a greater impact on daily life among women with decreased sexual desire. In conclusion, SUI is a common disorder affecting over one third of the women surveyed, and has a severe impact on the daily life of perimenopausal women with declined sexual desire. Age, mode of delivery, and monthly income are major risk factors involved in the development of SUI.

A Diagnostic Tool for Identification of Etiologies of Fever of Unknown Origin in Adult Patients Summary The diagnosis and treatment of fever of unknown origin (FUO) are huge challenges to clinicians. Separating the etiologies of FUO into infectious and non-infectious disease is conducive to clinical physicians not only on making decisions rapidly concerning the prescription of suitable antibiotics but also on further analysis of the final diagnosis. In order to develop and validate a diagnostic tool to efficiently distinguish the etiologies of adult FUO patients as infectious or non-infectious disease, FUO patients from the departments of infectious disease and internal medicine in three Chinese tertiary hospitals were enrolled retrospectively and prospectively. By using polynomial logistic regression analysis, the diagnostic formula and the associated scoring system were developed. The variables included in this diagnostic formula were from clinical evaluations and common laboratory examinations. The proposed tool could discriminate infectious and non-infectious causes of FUO with an area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.83, sensitivity of 0.80 and specificity of 0.75. This diagnosis tool could predict the infectious and non-infectious causes of FUO in the validation cohort with an AUC of 0.79, sensitivity of 0.79 and specificity of 0.70. The results suggested that this diagnostic tool could be a reliable tool to discriminate between infectious and non-infectious causes of FUO.

Triple Puncture for Primary Trigeminal Neuralgia: A Randomized Clinical Trial Summary To evaluate the effect of triple puncture on primary trigeminal neuralgia (pTN), 64 patients with pTN were randomly assigned to two groups: treatment group and control group. The participants in the treatment group received triple puncture treatment of 6 times per week for 4 weeks, and those in control group were given carbamazepine (300–600 mg per day) for at least 1 month. Before and after treatment, the primary outcomes including the total efficiency rate and the VAS pain scores, and the secondary outcomes including the frequency of pain attack and adverse events were observed. Sixty-two participants finished the study (33 in treatment group and 29 in control group individually). After treatment, the symptoms (mainly pain) of the two groups were alleviated. The total efficiency rate in the treatment group and control group was 90.9% and 75.9% respectively. The VAS pain scores and frequency of pain attack were significantly reduced in the treatment group as compared with the control group (P<0.05). The incidence of adverse events in the treatment group and control group was 9.1% and 24.1% respectively. It can be inferred that triple puncture can effectively improve the quality of life of patients with pTN and has less side effects.